Saturday 8 May 2010

Acropolis now...the web of PIIGS debt exposed in technicolour

The following pentagram is from the New York Times. Crafted from the BIS (Bank of International Settlements) data, it shows the total debt load of the PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain) nations as at 31st December, 2009 spotlighting how much is owed:
1. between the PIIGS nations themselves and
2. from the PIIGS to the major trading European partners, France, Germany and the UK
Arrow widths are proportional to debt amounts.

The joint EU/IMF rescue package this week of euro 111 billion or US$145 billion (bn) to bail-out Greece has triggered a burning fuse which will have global ramifications. It will leave the much maligned 1990s Asia currency contagion in the dust. There is simply too much interlinked debt in the European financial system at alarming proportions of national GDPs, one wonders how they will ever be rolled-over, never mind paid off.



After Greece, like dominoes, the other PIIGs are about to topple.

It's a sobering thought. EU leadership has been virtually non-existent. The world got a glimpse of this when the Eyjafjallajökull volcano erupted in April and paralysed European airspace for days costing the airlines billions. The Greece situation has merely amplified this.

The value of fiat paper money is waning. We are still some distance from the devastation wrought by hyperinflation in 1920s Germany, 1990s Argentina and 2000s Zimbabwe. It will take magical healing powers for the European financial system to untangle itself and escape the dark forces of dislocation building up within this pentagram.

The watershed moment has finally arrived to fully recognise gold and silver are real alternatives to holding paper money as a store of value.

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